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John Cronin

Dow Drops 500 Points as Banks Fall

October 7th, 2008 | 5 Comments | Posted in economy, wall street

After the article on today’s market sell off, please note the addendum that I have added below the text of the Dow story. In this environment, I think it is critically important for conservatives and right-center voters of all parties to stay true to our convictions and not be swayed by the Left’s siren song of a return to the failed policies of Depression era economic theories.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122337732542911119.html?mod=article-outset-box

Frightened investors took no comfort in regulators’ continued efforts to stanch the credit crisis and sent stocks to more steep losses, led by the financial sector.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose nearly 170 points at its morning high but slumped to finish lower for a fifth consecutive day, with the selling gaining momentum as the closing bell approached.
The Dow finished near its daily low, off 508.39 points, down 5.1%, at 9447.11. It was led down by a 26.2% plunge in shares of component Bank of America, which is cutting its dividend and seeking $10 billion in capital. J.P. Morgan Chase and Citigroup also saw declines of more than 10% each. The Dow has plummeted more than 1400 points, or 13%, during its five-day losing streak.

Other stock measures tumbled. The S&P 500 dropped 5.7% to 996.24. All its sectors declined, led by a 10.1% drop in financials. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite Index lost 5.8% to end at 1754.88. The small-stock Russell 2000 tumbled 6.2% to 558.96.

Stocks began to turn sharply lower as chatter spread around trading floors that Mitsubishi-UFJ could abandon its agreement to take a stake in Morgan Stanley. The buzz sent Morgan shares sliding roughly 30% and helped cause a broader rush out of stocks. Morgan Stanley later issued a statement saying that the deal remained on track, helping stanch the selloff, but its shares still ended down 24.9%. Rivals like Merrill Lynch and Barclays also cratered, falling 25.6% and 22.7%, respectively.

Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak, said the “noise” surrounding Morgan Stanley had put the entire market on edge. “Everybody’s nerves are completely fried,” he said “On the slightest chance of a reversal, everyone runs for the doors.”

Addendum:

Public Passes on New Deal

WSJ Journal Print Edition Oct. 7, 2008

Perhaps you’ve read—several hundred times by now—that the financial panic means we are returning to a new day of expanding government. Well, maybe not, if the American people are consulted. A new survey by the Kaufman Foundation describes a country that is worried about the impact of the financial turmoil on their lives, but is equally worried about what government might do to fix it.

For example, the survey asked, “What poses the greatest threat to your own economic situation?” The runaway winner was “higher taxes” which 50% cited as the first or second biggest worry. “The low value of thew dollar abroad” was runner up, picked first or second by 30% of respondents. The “housing market collapse” clocked in at third, with 25%, the federal budget deficit and debt next at 20%, and “corporate fraud and abuse” at 17%.

Perhaps this explains why all that pounding by John McCain and Sarah Palin about corruption on Wall Street hasn’t done much for their standing in the polls. Perhaps this also explains why Barack Obama is at such pains to conceal his plans to raise taxes.

The survey, which was conducted by Luntz, Maslansky Strategic Research between Sept. 26 and 29, did show that 59% supported increased government regulation of the financial markets. Amid the current mess, that’s not surprising. But when asked in whom they had the most “faith and confidence” when it comes to guiding the economy, a mere 7% picked “the government in Washington.” “The American people,” with 25%, was the favorite; “the free market system,” with 14%, got twice the support of the Beltway class. The public doesn’t seem to be aching for a new New Deal.

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

U.S. Stocks Sink On Bailout Plan Worries, Oil Surge

September 22nd, 2008 | 9 Comments | Posted in wall street

The market internals were so weak this past Thursday, that I doubted any rally would have the chops to sustain itself and sure enough, there was a sharp pull back today from Friday’s surge.

I put up some of the headlines from Market Watch to give our readers a very generalized view of some of the market headlines today.

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/newswatch-us-stocks-sink-bailout/story.aspx?guid={ADAD7263-026D-4225-AA93-D5B23FF14177}&dist=hplatest

By MarketWatch

Last update: 5:00 p.m. EDT Sept. 22, 2008

Stocks give back some of their sharp gains from Friday, as the market started digesting details of a $700 billion plan to take the bad assets off ailing financial firms’ balance sheets to stem the yearlong credit crisis. See full story.

McCain, Obama trade barbs on financial rescue plan

The presidential candidates trade barbs on the campaign trail over the nation’s financial-rescue plan, with each accusing the other of inaction and of failing to grasp what’s needed in the crisis. See full story.

The end of Wall Street may mean less profit for Goldman, Morgan

For Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the benefits of being bank holding companies may come at a cost. See full story.

Short-sale ban list expanded to include GE, GM, 28 others

Pushing on to shore up the markets, the list of banned short-sale stocks has been expanded to include the likes of blue chips General Electric, General Motors and American Express. See full story.

Microsoft sets largest-ever buyback plan; H-P, Nike follow suit

Microsoft annouces $40 billion share buyback, the largest on record. Nike and Hewlett-Packard also approve repurchases. See full story.

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John Cronin

Morgan Stanley, Goldman Shares Plunge

September 17th, 2008 | 1 Comment | Posted in economy, wall street

Wall Street is reeling from a series of blows that are coming from several directions at once. The mortgage mess precipitated the crisis and now the ripple effects are being seen in areas as diverse as majors selloffs in the stocks of the two remaining independent investment banks, Goldman and Morgan Stanley, as well as a major money market fund that has exposure to Lehman Bros. bonds, which are now valued at zero. What a tumultuous 10 day period in our country’s financial history. We are witnessing history being made before our eyes.

~~John Cronin~~

By Greg Morcroft, MarketWatch
Last update: 4:21 p.m. EDT Sept. 17, 2008

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Outright fear gripped the U.S. financial sector on Wednesday and investors aggressively sold off shares of the two largest remaining U.S. investment banks, signaling a rapidly waning confidence in the structural integrity of the nation’s financial system.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley shares suffered their biggest one day losses ever, falling 19% and 27%, respectively. The shares are off 30% and 43%, respectively, for the week.

Investor worries are growing about brokers’ access to funding in the current environment, and the companies have been trying to scale back their balance sheets. Bear Stearns’ demise was driven by an unwillingness of its partners to trade with it.

The market remained beset as well by concerns about the fate of the freshly bailed out American International Group and fresh concerns about the solvency of money market funds after one of the largest in the country froze redemptions yesterday.

And, in another troubling development from the financial crisis, one of the original and largest money market funds has put a seven-day freeze on investor redemptions after the net asset value of its shares fell below $1, in an extremely rare instance in the fund industry of what is called “breaking the buck.”

Primary Fund, managed by New York-based money market fund inventor The Reserve, said late Tuesday that its $785 million holding of Lehman Brothers Holdings debt has been valued at zero.
While Primary Fund’s Lehman holding was small compared to the fund’s overall size, the fact that it froze redemptions reflects a surge in redemption requests by investors

That news helped pressure shares of fund companies and online brokers, on concerns that investors might rush to make withdrawals in order to be sure their money is safe.

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