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John Cronin

Dow Drops 500 Points as Banks Fall

October 7th, 2008 | 5 Comments | Posted in economy, wall street

After the article on today’s market sell off, please note the addendum that I have added below the text of the Dow story. In this environment, I think it is critically important for conservatives and right-center voters of all parties to stay true to our convictions and not be swayed by the Left’s siren song of a return to the failed policies of Depression era economic theories.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122337732542911119.html?mod=article-outset-box

Frightened investors took no comfort in regulators’ continued efforts to stanch the credit crisis and sent stocks to more steep losses, led by the financial sector.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose nearly 170 points at its morning high but slumped to finish lower for a fifth consecutive day, with the selling gaining momentum as the closing bell approached.
The Dow finished near its daily low, off 508.39 points, down 5.1%, at 9447.11. It was led down by a 26.2% plunge in shares of component Bank of America, which is cutting its dividend and seeking $10 billion in capital. J.P. Morgan Chase and Citigroup also saw declines of more than 10% each. The Dow has plummeted more than 1400 points, or 13%, during its five-day losing streak.

Other stock measures tumbled. The S&P 500 dropped 5.7% to 996.24. All its sectors declined, led by a 10.1% drop in financials. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite Index lost 5.8% to end at 1754.88. The small-stock Russell 2000 tumbled 6.2% to 558.96.

Stocks began to turn sharply lower as chatter spread around trading floors that Mitsubishi-UFJ could abandon its agreement to take a stake in Morgan Stanley. The buzz sent Morgan shares sliding roughly 30% and helped cause a broader rush out of stocks. Morgan Stanley later issued a statement saying that the deal remained on track, helping stanch the selloff, but its shares still ended down 24.9%. Rivals like Merrill Lynch and Barclays also cratered, falling 25.6% and 22.7%, respectively.

Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller Tabak, said the “noise” surrounding Morgan Stanley had put the entire market on edge. “Everybody’s nerves are completely fried,” he said “On the slightest chance of a reversal, everyone runs for the doors.”

Addendum:

Public Passes on New Deal

WSJ Journal Print Edition Oct. 7, 2008

Perhaps you’ve read—several hundred times by now—that the financial panic means we are returning to a new day of expanding government. Well, maybe not, if the American people are consulted. A new survey by the Kaufman Foundation describes a country that is worried about the impact of the financial turmoil on their lives, but is equally worried about what government might do to fix it.

For example, the survey asked, “What poses the greatest threat to your own economic situation?” The runaway winner was “higher taxes” which 50% cited as the first or second biggest worry. “The low value of thew dollar abroad” was runner up, picked first or second by 30% of respondents. The “housing market collapse” clocked in at third, with 25%, the federal budget deficit and debt next at 20%, and “corporate fraud and abuse” at 17%.

Perhaps this explains why all that pounding by John McCain and Sarah Palin about corruption on Wall Street hasn’t done much for their standing in the polls. Perhaps this also explains why Barack Obama is at such pains to conceal his plans to raise taxes.

The survey, which was conducted by Luntz, Maslansky Strategic Research between Sept. 26 and 29, did show that 59% supported increased government regulation of the financial markets. Amid the current mess, that’s not surprising. But when asked in whom they had the most “faith and confidence” when it comes to guiding the economy, a mere 7% picked “the government in Washington.” “The American people,” with 25%, was the favorite; “the free market system,” with 14%, got twice the support of the Beltway class. The public doesn’t seem to be aching for a new New Deal.

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

The End of Wall Street as We Know It

September 22nd, 2008 | 13 Comments | Posted in wall street

In one week’s time, we have witnessed the stand alone investment bank business model of Wall Street swept away. Solomon/Smith Barney merged with Citi Bank years ago, Shearson, gone, years ago, E.F. Hutton, gone, years ago, Bears Stearns, merged with J.P. Morgan Chase, Lehman, bankrupt and merged with Barclay’s, Merrill Lynch, merged with Bank of America and now Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have converted to commercial bank holding companies.

I remember vividly the experience I had a few years ago, walking down the storied “urban canyon” of Wall Street with a briefcase in one hand and a cigar in the other. About a hundred feet in front of me their was a family of Japanese tourists who had a mini DV camera set up on a tripod. They were filming me as I walked toward them. The kids looked to be between 8 and 12 years old and they were all beaming at me as I got closer to them. The father turned to his kids and then turned his face back toward me and as he pointed his finger at me he said excitedly in English: “Broker, Broker!”

I took a big puff on my cigar and as I exhaled I gave them a big smile and flashed the “V” for victory sign to them. They all squealed with delight and it was a wonderful moment.

I am sure that the enemies of capitalism are rejoicing this morning at the fall of Wall Street, but there are also millions of people around the world who hold treasured memories of New York’s financial district and all of the history that goes with it. They can rest assured that global capital markets will continue to be led by America and by Western Europe and that, although the business will in all likelihood be managed in a much better structured and much more conservative way, the brash optimism in America’s future and in the future of the stock market will continue.

I once heard a money manager say this: “Do these three things and you’ll never go wrong. 1. Buy stocks 2. Buy bonds 3. Vote Republican.”

~~John Cronin~~

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