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John Cronin

World stocks fall amid renewed auto, banking fears

March 30th, 2009 | Comments Off | Posted in Business, economy, stocks

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/World-stocks-tumble-amid-G20-apf-14779397.html

LONDON (AP) – World stock markets slid Monday amid renewed fears about the fate of the U.S. auto industry and the global banking sector as well as mounting pessimism surrounding this week’s G-20 meeting of leaders.

The FTSE 100 of leading British shares was down 79.39 points, or 2 percent, at 3,819.46, while Germany’s DAX slumped 129.32 points, or 3.1 percent, to 4,074.23. The CAC-40 in France fell 60.63 points, or 2.1 percent, to 2,779.99.

Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average sank 390.89 points, or 4.5 percent, to 8,236.08, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slid 663.17, or 4.7 percent, to 13,456.33.

The retreat in Europe and Asia followed a sell-off Friday on Wall Street, where investors booked profits on the Dow Jones industrial average’s 21 percent gain over 13 trading days.

U.S. stock futures pointed to more losses Monday on Wall Street. Dow futures fell 161, or 2.1 percent, to 7,601 while Standard & Poor’s 500 futures fell 17.6 points, or 2.2 percent, to 798.50.
Stock market sentiment was hit by a combination of factors on Monday, with automakers under particular pressure after the White House rejected the turnaround plans from General Motors Corp. and Chrysler. The Obama administration also replaced GM’s CEO Rick Wagoner with the company’s chief operating officer, Fritz Henderson.

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John Cronin

Peter Schiff Pulling No Punches Now

February 4th, 2009 | Comments Off | Posted in Economic Stimulus Plan, economy, stocks, wall street

With today’s sell off in the bank stocks, Mr.Schiff’s warnings are taking on a new urgency.

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

Stocks Sink as Outlook Darkens

November 7th, 2008 | 1 Comment | Posted in Business, Jobs, stocks

So far global markets have been immune to President-Elect Obama’s charm. To make matters worse, the bailout chow line keeps getting longer as the struggling U.S. auto companies that just got a $25 billion tax payer bailout now are coming back for seconds. Now they want an additional $25 billion. Brace yourselves for the coming inflation. This is not real money they are handing out, this is fast depreciating paper, backed by nothing.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122597213940304699.html

Stocks suffered a second straight round of steep losses amid new signs that bellwether companies and their customers are struggling. Jittery investors also placed early bets that jobs data due out Friday morning will be bleak.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down 443.48 points on Thursday, off 4.9%, at 8695.79, hurt by declines in all 30 of its components. The Dow has fallen 929.49 points, or 9.66%, over the past two days, the biggest percentage drop since the crash of October 1987.

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John Cronin

A Checklist for Signs of a Market Recovery

October 22nd, 2008 | Comments Off | Posted in stocks, wall street

Here’s some interesting information from our friends over at MarketWatch on signs to look for when the market is poised for a recovery.

~~John Cronin~~

By Michael Ashbaugh, MarketWatch

But when measuring the current upturn’s credibility, the following is a checklist for signaling a major market low.

Several, if not all, of the events below need to occur:
• An off-the-charts strong-volume rally that’s not driven by government intervention. Monday’s 400-point Dow spike came on the lightest volume in 18 sessions.
• The emergence of sector leadership. Along with the financials, the airlines have acted well, but these groups won’t do it. Ultimately, the financials will be dead money for some time — several years — and they’ve been propped up through almost daily government intervention.
• At least one, and preferably two, 20-to-1 up days to neutralize the October breakdown. Over the past 11 sessions, the U.S. markets have suffered three 20-to-1 down days, the most recent occurring last Thursday.
• A volatility drop to digest the market crash. For instance, a series of 100-point Dow moves — in either direction — uninterrupted by these 800-point intraday whipsaws.
• From a sentiment standpoint, analysts need to stop declaring how great this buying opportunity is.
• A decisive break atop resistance.

So that’s the technical wish list.

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John Cronin

Stocks fall sharply as global crisis persists Dow cuts 800-point slide in half amid talk of global coordinated intervention

October 6th, 2008 | 8 Comments | Posted in stocks, wall street

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/dow-ends-off-lows-after/story.aspx?guid={4BD4FBDA-E4B1-4144-B0DE-796E5F0CAC06}

By Nick Godt, Market Watch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell as much as 800 points to trade below the 10,000 mark Monday as nervousness over the credit crisis spread after the U.S. government’s $700 billion bailout and interventions in Europe only seemed to add to investor anxiety.

But hopes of a coordinated intervention helped the Dow to stop the bleeding in global markets recoup half of its losses, to close down 369 points, or 3.6%, to 9,955.

We could have a bounce tomorrow, especially if we get a coordinated rate cut by the three main central banks, [in the U.S., Europe and the U.K.],” said Robert Pavlik, market strategist at Oaktree Asset Management.

“That would send a message to the market that they’re cognizant of the problems and they’re ready to do something about it.”

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John Cronin

U.S. Stocks Down Sharply In Early Trade: AIG Takeover Flames Fears

September 17th, 2008 | 2 Comments | Posted in economy, stocks, wall street

By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch
Last update: 10:00 a.m. EDT Sept. 17, 2008

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - U.S. stocks dived at Wednesday’s start as investors questioned whether the government’s rescue of American International Group Inc. would stop financial sector hemorrhaging and as home building tumbled again in August.

“The markets will be largely focused on the U.S. financial sector for further direction in currencies, rates and equities,” said Rebeca Liu, a currency analyst at Wachovia Corp.

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John Cronin

McCain: Wall Street Woes Point To Regulation Need

September 16th, 2008 | 1 Comment | Posted in AP, Barack Obama, John McCain, New York, economy, stocks, wall street

As a free market conservative, I never thought I would be among the first to raise a hue and cry for re-regulation, but that is exactly what I’m advocating. The monumental failures of former Wall St. titans Merrill Lynch and Lehman Bros., along with mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, have demonstrated
beyond any reasonable doubt, that these institutions had virtually no internal controls. That being the case and considering the devastation they leave behind them when they fail, I feel that we must come to the conclusion that external controls are now necessary.

Even for those who don’t accept re-regulation with out stretched arms, considering the massive bailouts that have already been made and keeping in mind the much rumored commercial banks that may need to be rescued by the FDIC, what alternative do we have? As big as the Federal government is, it’s resources aren’t infinite. Unless someone just happens to have an extra trillion dollars just laying around, I don’t know what else we can do, but craft new legislation that will re-institute the kind of risk management that sophisticated money management firms are expected to employ on their own.

I read an article yesterday that came to the conclusion that “moral hazard” ( usually an insurance term ) has been re-introduced to the players of Wall Street. If you take big risks and the trades go south, you are on your own. The days of coming to the U.S. Treasury or lining up the limos outside the New York Fed are over.

~~John Cronin~~

By GLEN JOHNSON
Associated Press
September 15, 2008

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) – Wall Street turmoil underscores the need to overhaul “the outdated and ineffective patchwork quilt of regulatory oversight in Washington,” Republican presidential contender John McCain said Monday.

In a statement issued in advance of market openings, the Arizona senator said he agreed there should be no taxpayer-financed bailout of Lehman Brothers even as the investment banking giant faced the specter of liquidation. Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch was selling itself to Bank of America for less than half of the iconic brokerage firm’s recent value.

“It is essential for us to make sure that the U.S. remains the pre-eminent financial market of the world. This will be a highest priority of my administration. In order to do this, major reform must be made in Washington and on Wall Street,” McCain said in his statement.

He added: “The McCain-Palin administration will replace the outdated and ineffective patchwork quilt of regulatory oversight in Washington and bring transparency and accountability to Wall Street. We will rebuild confidence in our markets and restore our leadership in the financial world.”

Over the weekend, advisers both to McCain and Democratic rival Barack Obama said they did not favor a government bailout of Lehman Brothers like that previously provided to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The government also help engineer the recent sale of Bear Stearns Cos. to J.P. Morgan & Co.

“I am glad to see that the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have said no to using taxpayer money to bailout Lehman Brothers, a position I have spoken about throughout this campaign,” said McCain. “We are carefully monitoring the financial markets, including the duress at Lehman Brothers that is the latest reminder of ineffective regulation and management. Efforts must also be focused on ensuring that the deposits of hardworking Americans are protected.”

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Jeff Fuller

As Recession Looms, Who’s Best for Economy? Barron’s Online Say Romney

Yesterday, I reviewed how the Economy is a vital issue for both Repubs and Dems–also pointing out there is increasing concern of a looming recession and how McCain’s not quite up to snuff on this issue (even by his own admission)

But who would be best for the economy? Barron’s Online back in July said that Romney would be the best GOP candidate and McCain the worst GOP candidate for the economy (Huck’s lucky that he wasn’t included in their rankings back then). Their cover story article was called “The Mitt and Bill Show” Parts One and Two.

Some notable quotes:

Romney would be the best Republican candidate for stocks, bonds and the economy

“Based on our report card, the optimal match-up for Wall Street would be Richardson versus Romney, because both candidates favor low taxes and sound fiscal policy.”

“Romney, formerly governor of Massachusetts and once a top private-equity investor, garnered 3.8 points out of a possible 4″

“Polls show that most Americans consider estate taxes to be unjust. Nevertheless, Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani are the only candidates who favor total elimination. Romney told us, “I believe that it is unfair to tax income when it is earned, then again when it is saved and then again when it is passed on to one’s children and grandchildren.”

. . .

McCain’s answer was ambiguous. On one hand, he supported extending all Bush tax cuts. But then he said the estate tax should be “low, simple, predictable and unobtrusive.”

Folks, if the Economy takes a turn south we need a nominee who can make a convincing case that he can help turn it around. Only Romney can make that sale IMO (his resume is quite impressive in his education on ecomomics). As far as who I’d trust to with the Economy Romney’s first, Rudy’s a distant second, then Fred, then McCain, then Richardson, then Clinton tied with Huckabee, then Obama, then Edwards. We should keep in mind that there’s a far greater chance of a economic downturn than many other variables or possibilities that people talk about a POTUS may face.

Jeff Fuller

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