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John Cronin

No Easy Days for McCain’s Generals in the Field

It remains an open question whether McCain’s pick of Gov. Palin is a net benefit for his campaign. But of one thing there is no doubt. She is certainly turning into a cultural icon, inspiring changes in women’s fashions and skits on SNL.

On this site’s chatbox, we have been having fun with a couple of phrases from Thursday’s VP debate: “Doggone it, there you go again” and “You betcha.”

But however much fun Gov. Palin has inspired, there are also some hard political facts we must consider. Namely, McCain is behind in the polls with a month left in the campaign and he has recently pulled the plug on his Michigan campaign. Michigan, with 17 electoral votes and a state that Gov. Romney could have delivered to McCain on a silver platter.

We are getting word from several sources that the move is controversial within the Republican Party. It strikes me as politically tin-eared to make a move that high profile operatives within your own party second guess you on. This stuff all goes back to one of the many reasons Sen. McCain was not my first pick. He just seems to be out of touch with his own party. He is certainly out of touch with the conservative base. His only conservative policies have Mitt Romney’s fingerprints all over them!

For the sake of the country, I hope he gets it right by Nov. 4. Otherwise, Obama gets a chance to complete Jimmy Carter’s second term in office.

~~John Cronin~~

CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa – The road to victory for John McCain has gotten tougher in the past week: He has given up on Michigan, struggled to deal with a financial crisis many voters blame on Republicans and faced skepticism about his vice-presidential pick.

All of that raises pressure on Sen. McCain’s field generals in the battleground states where he is still competing — people like Gentry Collins. The Iowan’s success or failure, and that of his boss, hinges on the rapid-fire decisions Mr. Collins needs to make every day, from appeasing local political leaders to keeping tally sheets on daily phone calls.

Mr. Collins’s territory is rocky terrain. As one of Sen. McCain’s 11 regional campaign managers, he is responsible for Iowa, where Sen. Barack Obama holds a solid lead, and Missouri, a state Sen. McCain has to win but where polls show a close race. At least one of the presidential candidates, and usually both, are in Mr. Collins’s states every week. Voters see those events, though they don’t see the last-minute scrambles by his staff that makes them possible.

Behind the scenes, Mr. Collins’s task is complex. In Iowa, he must contend with a fractured party where most active Republicans wanted someone else for president. In Missouri, a classic swing state that has gone with the winner in 24 of the last 25 elections, Mr. Collins is outgunned by a better-funded Obama campaign that has been on the ground longer.

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John Cronin

Networks and Newspapers Lose the News

I am currently reading a very interesting and informative book written by the LEAGUE OF WOMEN VOTERS, published by THE LYONS PRESS, “CHOOSING THE PRESIDENT 2004″.

They have a study they refer to in the book that was done by the PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE AND THE PRESS; “2002 MEDIA CONSUMPTION SURVEY.”

Here’s a look at what they found.

“As recently as 1990, the major television networks—ABC,CBS and NBC—had a dominant role in delivering news to the American people. In 1992, the nightly network news shows with Dan Rather, Tom Brokaw and Peter Jennings regularly reached 60 percent of the adult population. By 2002, that number had declined to 32 percent—almost cut in half.

Newspapers, the most traditional of the major media, faced the same trend. While 58% of people polled in 1994 said that they had read a newspaper in the last day, by 2002 that figure was down to 41%. In addition, older Americans are much more likely to be newspaper readers than people in their twenties—a trend that has the newspapers very worried.

Local TV news and radio also reach lots of people, and both of these news media have also lost viewers or listeners in the past ten years. Cable TV news, the most influential of the new media, has held steady in recent years. In 2002, it was regularly watched by 33% of Americans.

When you take into account all their news programing, including the morning shows and news magazines, the major networks still receive some attention from a majority of Americans. As a result, their coverage of the issues and the candidates can have considerable influence on the course of a presidential campaign. But campaign planners are very much aware that the way America gets it’s news is changing fast, and new strategies are needed.”

For most of our readers, the above is probably old news. I quote it to point out the need for utilizing a very basic, but very effective grassroots organizing technique, neighborhood canvassing. My experience with door-to-door canvassing earlier this year was very positive. It reinforced my belief that one way to help overcome the MSM’s effect on the campaigns of conservatives is to get in front of voters and deliver a message to them that they haven’t heard before. My experience both in Des Moines and in St. Louis was that most people still rely on the newspapers and broadcast TV for their impressions of the candidates, and everyone on this site knows from bitter experience what the Huckabee network of churches and pastors and the MSM propaganda machine did to Gov. Romney’s run for the nomination.

If you have not tried it before, I’d like to encourage you to team up with a friend and to start to organize your own neighborhoods for a conservative Republican Congressional candidate or incumbent. Make sure you are up to speed on your candidate’s positions and very importantly, keep good records of your contacts. Get them on an emailing list where possible and hand out literature for those voters who don’t have internet access. Ask for permission to place a sign in their yards and be sure to recontact everyone you talked to the weekend before the election in order to “get out the vote.”

It’s hard work and time consuming. It’s also very effective. Here’s a look at how Gov. Romney did in the areas that had the highest concentrations of grassroots volunteers. To a great degree, the results were influenced by these area’s favorable demographics, having a higher percentage of college educated and upscale voters (patterns we saw very plainly in Des Moines as well), but, according to the national campaign office in Boston, the results were also influenced by the volunteer organization’s co-ordinated efforts.

ST. LOUIS COUNTY

McCAIN………………..41.06%

ROMNEY……………….36.49%

HUCKABEE…………….16.98%

ST. CHARLES COUNTY

ROMNEY………………37.72%

McCAIN……………….34.95%

HUCKABEE…………….21.83%

JACKSON COUNTY (KANSAS CITY)

ROMNEY……………..34.68%

McCAIN………………34.13%

HUCKABEE……………23.16%

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

Romney Delegate Count Update

According to the MSM……If Romney doesn’t win Iowa, he’s toast………If Romney doesn’t win Wyoming, he’s toast……..If Romney doesn’t win New Hampshire, he’s toast……..If Romney doesn’t win Michigan, he’s toast………If Romney doesn’t win Nevada, he’s toast……If Romney doesn’t win,…… oh, never mind, but you just wait until he has to face the Democrats in the Fall.

Sure.

Updated delegate count:

Romney——72

McCain——38

Huckabee——29

Thompson——8

Paul——6

Giuliani——2

Hunter——1

And now it’s on to Florida and let’s win there!

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

The GOP Moderate “Modernizers” Prop Up McCain, Hate Mitt Romney

Here’s another example of why Rush Limbaugh is the undisputed King Of Talk Radio. Rush has the platform to say to 20,000,000 people what we conservatives talk about with friends and family.

~~John Cronin~~

Rush Limbaugh.Com

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1955389/posts

This is Disa in Redmond, Oregon, I’m glad you waited. Nice to have you on the EIB Network. Hello.

CALLER: Hi. I’m glad to be on. Hey, I am livid over that comment I just heard that guy say. First of all, Romney is a sincere guy, and, you know, the media hates him, and that is clear. It is a miracle he is doing as good as he’s doing right now. I have heard over and over again, “He didn’t win Iowa, he’s out. He didn’t win New Hampshire, he’s out.” It is a miracle. He has gotten first and second in everything. It is a miracle he’s doing what he does with them against him like that. Okay, he can turn things around. He is one of the sharpest guys I’ve ever known. This man can analyze — he goes to a company, what does he do? He analyzes it, he says, “Okay, what’s going wrong, why isn’t this company working?” He sees what’s wrong. He cuts the waste and he increases productivity. Okay, this guy is amazing. If this guy wins the Republican nomination, he’ll take us to the White House, and no one else will, because, you know what, McCain is not a conservative. Huckabee, he should be a vice presidential candidate for the Democrats, okay? He’s a nice guy, but he is a liberal, okay, they can get some of the religious vote if they take him as a vice presidential candidate. I’m sorry. Am I getting too excited?

RUSH: No. I love women who are excited, especially when they’re talking to me.

Below is an example of Rush cutting through the liberal fog to call them out on their attempts to manipulate this election.

CALLER: — the real thing is, I like him.

RUSH: Disa.

CALLER: Yes. Sorry.

RUSH: No, no, no, no, no. Don’t apologize. Your instincts here are exactly right. I want to go further. I want to tell you what this is really all about to help your blood pressure levels. The media, in propping up Huckabee and McCain, I don’t care if they’re Republicans or Democrat Drive-Bys, they’re trying to destroy the conservative movement. This is why they are salivating over the possibility that Huckabee might have gotten the nomination. They think they could take out two of their biggest enemies in one election, conservative Christians and the evangelical vote, and they would love that. I’ve had a number of these Drive-Bys confirm that to me. Same thing with McCain. They just despise conservatives, period. They despise conservative leaders, people that have a chance to lead and govern with conservative policies, because the big target of conservatives is Big Government, and that’s God to these people! We’re going after their savior. Liberalism, if you look at it like a religion, God is their temple, abortion is their sacrament. And conservatives go after both of those things. And they’ve got to be destroyed. So, of course, they’re going to prop up a guy like McCain. Of course, McCain’s gone out and tried to make the Drive-By Media his base, not Republican voters. It’s no surprise to me McCain didn’t win Michigan. Republicans aren’t going to vote for him. The two primaries where he came close and won, independents and Democrats are voting.

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John Cronin

Mitt’s Mich. Campaign Warns of Trickery

This just in, more dirty tricks from Romney opponents desperate to stop the leader in delegate count and the candidate at the top of the national polls.

POLITICO.COM

By: Jonathan Martin

From Romney’s Michigan state Director Jason McBride in an e-mail to state supporters:

Dear Michigan Voter,

The focus of this election has now turned to Michigan. In the coming days, each Republican campaign will be engaged in an intense effort to make contact with each potential voter. Yet, while some will engage in an effort to turn out their vote, third party groups will be engaged in a campaign to discourage the supporters of their opponents. Based upon reports from Iowa and New Hampshire, you should expect:

Anonymous E-Mails Or Fake E-Mails: In both Iowa and New Hampshire, voters received emails that appeared to be coming from Romney for President but were actually meant to suppress support for Gov. Romney. In both states, voters received email messages from “Team Romney” touting the endorsement of the Log Cabin Republicans. The truth is that the Log Cabin Republicans have launched attack ads against Gov. Romney. They do not support the governor and oppose his strong defense of traditional marriage in America.

Nuisance Calls: In New Hampshire, Romney supporters received calls from California numbers late at night. The callers claim to be Romney staffers. These “staffers” will call back time and again late at night. These calls are intended to reflect poorly upon Gov. Romney and his campaign. We are committed to nothing but professionalism.

Push Polling: In both Iowa and New Hampshire, voters received out-of-state calls from supporters of Gov. Mike Huckabee claiming to run an impartial survey. However, once a voter identified themselves as a Romney supporter, they were subjected to negative information about the governor. The information received is patently false.

~~John Cronin~~

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Paul Johnson

Another Mitt Romney Investment Pays Dividends

Remember an earlier post, and what Mitt said this morning on the Sunday shows: Mitt’s original strategy was created to deal with one front runner (Rudy G) who had all kinds of name recognition and appeared to be a juggernaut. Rudy’s slid back now with all the attention on tight races in IA and NH (and he could be back later), but that same attention has focused quite a few cameras on Mitt, who now has name recognition, is always either the story or the “other guy” in the story, and is not currently fighting any one clear front runner. While the press may try to make hay if Mitt takes a 2d silver in NH, Mitt would still be the guy with the football (and the delegates). To draw on my particular field, as a successful venture capitalist and CEO Mitt knows there are different phases in a company’s life, and each require a different focus. Mitt’s strategy and focus will also morph as his campaign moves from stage I to stage II. But as of now, the original Iowa and New Hampshire strategies have already worked and given Mitt the “IRR” he was looking for. But of course we also want that home run investment out of New Hampshire!

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John Cronin

One of the Reasons this blog is #1

I was in the process of getting caught up on the site, after spending the week in Iowa, when I came across this excellent comment from one of our readers.

Linda on 02 Jan 2008 at 2:54 am edit this #6

Boy are you optimistic. I still see Romney getting the nomination, but through a more complicated route. Huck will squeeze past Romney in Iowa, and McCain will take New Hampshire, because both are so full of momentum right now, united against Romney, and getting a free pass from the MSM. Then Romney will take Michigan, his home state, because he will still be strong coming in 2nd in the first two states. Then it will come down to Huck vs. Romney in South Carolina. By this time, Huckabee has been stopped by the conservative press (Will, Limbaugh, Ingraham, Hannity, Coulter, Hewitt, etc.), who have all joined forces, for the sake of the party, to kill a Huckabee nomination. (They would have done it earlier, but they were all on Christmas break) Romney will then squeeze past Huck in South Carolina, due to Huck’s bad press. McCain will have since been out of contention, because he was only viable in NewHampshire anyway. That leaves only Giuliani and Romney to fight it out for Florida. I can’t predict that, but I think it will be a Romney/Giuliani race from then on, with Romney the victor, due to momentum, and the republican establishment on his side.

One of the things I have observed over the last year at this site is the reasoned analysis that goes on here, from both contributors and readers. We don’t have screaming contests with each other, there isn’t any of the sophomoric arguments that go on at other sites and, with the exception of the occasional “wing nut eruption”, our readers post comments that have real value in the ongoing process of selecting the next President. Thats why I posted Linda’s excellent analysis above. Kudos to Linda on a fine job!

~~John Cronin~~

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Vic Lundquist

Thoughts, Opinions, Images of the First Contest

Well, after spending all day in airplanes and airports yesterday, I made it back to wet California. I can say I definitely prefer wet over arctic. Finally, I was able to see the photos I had taken in Iowa and decided to do a quick post on the trip. I have not been able to read every post on our blog yet, so if I post information or photos similar to those of Jeff, Nate, Paul, or Jason, I apologize.

First though, I am posting information that I found interesting. I did not see these YouTubes posted in this blog, so I am posting them now. Many of you may have seen these, and if so, skip them to the photos below.

On caucus day, Jeff Fuller and I, along with Jason Bonham (MMM) and Steven Tylicki, were with the press pool that attended every event at which Governor Romney gave a speech (five as I recall). As we boarded the Romney media bus for our last round of stops and waited for others to join, Jeff was reviewing news and came across Amanda Carpenters blog post at Townhall.com in which she recounts details from a conversation she overheard of Ed Rollins. Right after reading the post on the bus, Amanda boarded the bus and received a number of congratulations and high fives. Later that night, her post hit the national news as Christ Wallace grilled Rollins. I love how Rollins does everything he can to evade and distract. I also love the reaction of Brit Hume at the end. CLASSIC! What is it about this Ed Rollins guy?

And then this from Glenn Beck. Apparently Beck had some kind of surgery and was at home recovering when he made this recording. You have to watch this all the way to the end. He is quite funny. I love his facial expressions and sarcasm:

As mentioned at other times in this blog, my favorite hobby since my youth is photography. In Iowa, I took around 300 photographs. These are among my favorites. I may post more later.

This first one was at our second campaign stop on caucus day. We stopped at what we were told is a Fortune 500 company (the only one in Iowa?), Krause Gentle. It was refreshing for the president of the company to come out and introduce Governor Romney and tell all his employees that he and his company endorse him for President.

This first shot is during the company president’s introduction of Governor Romney. I believe the Governor is holding Craig’s and Mary’s son, one of his grandsons.

Krause Gentle - 1-3-07

This photograph includes Mary Romney and Dan Jantzen:

Krause Gentle2 - 1-3-07

Right after the speech, Governor Romney spotted these two little girls with a microphone. One looked like she was 7 years old and the other 6 years old. Their teacher held the video cam. They were from the “Scholastic News Network” and had also interviewed Jeff Fuller as we entered the building:

Krause Gentle3 - 1-3-07

Jeff Fuller and I were literally about six feet from Governor Romney during this speech. Immediately following the speech, Governor Romney stepped off the platform and walked over to Jeff standing beside me. I did not catch the whole exchange, but Governor Romney said something like, “Hey Jeff, good to see you! I didn’t know you were here in Iowa! Thanks for being here and for the support. I heard you recently moved to Louisiana. . . “ As many of you know, Jeff was instrumental in laying the organizational groundwork for the campaign in Iowa over a year ago and had several meetings with Governor Romney then. Knowing that the Governor meets thousands of people a week and that he had not seen Jeff in quite some time, it was most impressive to experience Governor Romney’s perfect memory. This photograph below is of Jeff standing at the flag that was the backdrop to the speech:

Jeff Fuller at Krause Gentle

The following was taken at the end of the caucuses. Incidentally, I saw or heard some report that indicated that reporters outnumbered caucus goers and other Iowans at the Romney campaign stops that day. ANY REPORT YOU SEE TO THAT EFFECT IS FALSE. Every event we attended in the press pool had anywhere from 200 to 800 people with no more than 50 members of the media. The first stop, Principle Financial, one of the largest employers in the state, had the most media set up and did not exceed 50 people. There were at least 500 employees in attendance.

Des Moines Evening - 1-3-08

If any of you ever have the opportunity to go to a primary state to volunteer in the campaign, do it. That was a wonderful experience all the way around. Governor Romney has the best people working in his organization!

~ Vic

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David Kim

What if Utah was the first to Caucus…

…60% of the caucus voters were LDS, and Mitt only got 34% of the vote, what would the media story be?

A commenter on one of the Washington Post blogs made this point and I thought it was quite brilliant.

Turn Rich Lowry’s numbers around and you’d see something very interesting - if Utah was the first caucus and 60% of caucusers were Mormons and Mitt only got 1/3 of the vote and only won by 9 points, you’d say he lost. You’d say that even if his opponent had spent millions more. I hate to sound like a sore loser, but the media response doesn’t make sense to me. Given the favorable circumstances, I think Huckabee lost and Mitt won.

It doesn’t change the outcome, but it really brings out the media bias we are up against. (if you have the stomach for it, there’s many heated (and revealing) comments down the thread which make it eminently clear what else we are up against)

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David Kim

Being a Romney supporter hasn’t required much courage…

…until now.

Many of the founders and readers of this blog have been around from the very beginning when Mitt Romney was polling in the low single digits. You could argue that it required courage to believe in Mitt back then, and it did. It was a different kind of courage, however. Expectations were not only low, they were non-existent. Mitt was all potential, all upside, and for the more politically “entrepreneurial” an exhilarating candidate to back.


Then came the fundraising results
. Mitt was running the table on the Republican side, and it was so fun to watch and be a part of! Validation of our chosen candidate! Easy to be a Romney supporter.

Then came the first of the debates. Mitt showed that he could brawl with the big boys and in fact was considered so good that people came to expect it…Again, easy to be a Romney supporter.

Then came Ames. Wow! That was a real victory and so sweet to us Romney supporters! Again, easy to be a Romney supporter.

And came the Value Voters summit, and yet again Mitt won! (despite the mini-controversy about the online vs. in person vote…is it our fault that Romney supporters are more internet-savvy?) Again, easy to be a Romney supporter.

Then came the Huckabee surge, followed by the McCain surge. Through it all, Romney’s support stayed pretty firm. The surges were being funded out of Giuliani and Fred Thompson’s hides, not Mitt’s. It was frustrating to see, but still we could take solace in the strength of Mitt’s support and his organization. Easy to be a Romney supporter.

This brings us to today. Iowa spoke, and it said “Huckabee.”

For the first time, Mitt is not winning. He is not exceeding expectations, because expectations were too high. Mitt’s candidacy has been hurt, no two ways about it. Romney’s opponents on the Left, in the MSM, and in the Republican Party are exalting in the result.

Today is not an easy day to be a Romney supporter. Today is the day, however, when we will see what we are made of. Will we stand fast by Mitt Romney? Will we stand fast by the husband, father, “best businessman in America”, man who saved the Olympics, and the Turnaround Governor?

Or, will we fold under pressure from the MSM, Huckabee, and McCain’s baseless misrepresentations of Governor Romney’s record and character?

As another Small-Government Conservative Governor of Massachusetts who subsequently became President once said:

Nothing in the world can take the place of Persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. The slogan ‘Press On’ has solved and always will solve the problems of the human race.” — Calvin Coolidge, 30th President of the United States

Mitt is pressing on with optimism and energy. How about you? Let’s “press on” and get ready for New Hampshire! This is nowhere close to being over. It will only make ultimate victory that much sweeter.

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Nate Gunderson

Update from Iowa HQ

January 3rd, 2008 | 2 Comments | Posted in 2008, Campaign Trail, Iowa, Mitt Romney

I’m just now getting to posting on yesterday’s events which were quite exciting.

When we arrived at the campaign headquarters the first thing we noticed is how packed it was. Parking overflowed the available lots and continued down the street. We saw many, many license plates from all around the country, the furthest being from Oregon. Inside the building was rather full as well. We grabbed a couple of ‘walking books’ drove to the city of Ankeny to knock some doors. The temperature was not any higher than the day before, but the lack of wind made it infinitely more pleasant to be outside.

wheelstuck.jpg
First our wheel got stuck in the snow. There are no shoulder on the roads here. We have to park in snow banks because the roads are so narrow. Here it looked like there was a shoulder because the snow was even with the road, but as soon as I drove off the asphalt we sunk about 10 inches.
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backdoor.jpg
Our vehicle and supplies.
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neighborhood.jpg
Our first neighborhood of the day.
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bidensign.jpg
A Biden sign next to a deflated Santa Claus (kind of like Biden’s campaign). On my way back to the car a huge dog from this house tried to assault me. I think it’s owners trained it to recognize Republicans.

When we got back to HQ in the afternoon we hit the phones again. We missed a visit by Ann Romney while we were out.

Senator Bob Bennett (Utah) just arrived and we took an opportunity to get a photo with him, so I’ll interject that here.
senatorbennett.jpg

(I’ll mention now that Senator DeMint of South Carolina is also here and is speaking right now, as well as Senator Wayne Allard of Colorado. I couldn’t get good photos of them.)

While doing phone calls I stopped to talk to a reporter I recognized from local Utah news. He interviewed us a small portion of the that was played on the 2 News at 10 in Salt Lake. The video is embedded below (after a short commercial, bleh). The quote they show of the rotund-ish guy with a beard and glasses is my brother Aaron. They show a guy just before that who says he’s from Houston but the caption says ‘Aaron Gunderson - Spanish Fork resident’, was not Aaron but someone I don’t know. Oops. Also visible in the video is at 1:41 is John Cronin wearing a green sweater.


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The highlight of yesterday was certainly going to the rally which was held at the HyVee Convention Center in West Des Moines. Pictures of that are below. My brothers were interviewed by a German Newspaper while I was running out to the car to get the camera. We were glad to get a chance to see Governor Romney after being here a few days already. He hasn’t been able to come the HQ because of the numerous events he is holding all across the state. At the rally (after Romney’s remarks) my brothers start a ‘ROMNEY’ chant (in Paulian style) that made a lot of the camera crews start swarming around us - so there might be some photos and short video clips in Wisconsin news, Germany and MTV. My parents said they did see us on C-Span. Twice on the news in one day. That’s two times more than the rest of my whole life. (Congressman Buck McKeon of CA is now making the rounds, and he’s now chatting with us about the show 24.) Photos from the rally:

cameracrew.jpg
Only part of the camera crews that were there.
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mittatrally.jpg
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annrally.jpg
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carlcameron.jpg
Carl Cameron of Fox News. I also saw David Brody of CBN. He did an interview with Ann Romney.

Here are some other random pictures from today:

johnonbreak.jpg
John Cronin taking an Ice Cream break
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nateandmascot.jpg
Me with the ‘Soul’ of the campaign. I don’t actually know his name, but i do know that he was an Evangelical Minister.
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natejasonvic.jpg
Me, Jason Bonham of MMM and R408, and Vic Lundquist.
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paulworking.jpg
New ERin2008 blogger Paul Johnson working at his laptop.
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vicworking.jpg
..and Vic, who is also hard at work.

As for todays activities. More calling, lots of visitors, not much press surprisingly. Sitting next to me on the floor now is a cute little 9 year old from Ohio here making calls to caucuses - she’s speaking with gusto and conviction. My brothers and I (as well as several others) are going to be sent to some remote precincts where the campaign does not have a precinct leader. We will each actually attend separate caucuses, and be there to represent to campaign: hand out stickers, speak to the group about why they should support Romney, and supervise the count tally and reporting. I’m nervous and excited at the same time. I hope that we are not sent out too far as we would like attend the celebration afterwards. BTW I am told the results should come in very rapidly - we should know who won by 8:30 or so.

My brothers are telling me that Jeff Fuller just arrived. I have not yet met him in person so I’m gonna go see him now.

Good luck to Team Romney!

~Nate Gunderson

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Paul Johnson

More from Urbandale

Volunteers are busily at work.

The mood is good. For a bit of flavor, here’s a youtube link to a song written by some of our very own volunteers. Pass it along.

Josh Romney visited earlier and told us he’s been on the road long enough to see the corn sprout and grow over his head, and is confident his dad will win the nomination.

National Polls

We all know they’re still not worth much at this stage, but here’s the latest Rasmussen Report. Mitt’s up by 1%, which may be statistically insignificant but it’s better than everyone else right now.

Senator Bob Bennett of Utah

bob-bennett.jpg
Senator Bennett of Utah visited this afternoon, saying just moments ago that he was convinced that “if we had a secret ballot in the Senate [for their preferred candidate]…Mitt Romney would win, if not unanimously among Republicans, and he would probably get a few Democrats, too.”

One last thought…

One last thought before getting back to phone calls…people have said Mitt’s strategy was to come through Iowa and New Hampshire and look for a boom to propel the campaign forward. Let me be the first to say the strategy has already worked, regardless of the result tonight. If we were looking ahead 3-4 months ago, and knew Mitt would be in nearly every conversation about winning the first two states, we’d all have been ecstatic. Mitt now has more name recognition than we could have hoped for at this stage. Mitt’s the only common denominator between the first two states. With or without an Iowa or NH win, Mitt will take what’s already been done and take it to the rest of the country in the weeks ahead. Congrats to team Mitt on what has already been a victory. May the victory be made official tonight!

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Paul Johnson

Report from the Rally

Here I am again to report on events later in the day January 2 in Urbandale and at the night’s Romney rally.

A Brief Chat with Doug Gross

Toward the end of the afternoon I was privileged to sit down for a few minutes with Doug Gross, Mitt’s Iowa chair.

Doug Gross

He’d told the troops in a mid-day rally session that he met Mitt in April of ‘06, and was impressed that Mitt had the whole package. He told me in our interview that for him, the “whole package” meant Mitt had “leadership, values, an ability to get things done and executive experience.” Doug helped the campaign organize for the Ames straw poll, and when I asked him to compare the caucuses with the straw poll, and he said “caucuses are like a straw poll on steroids,” with the need to make sure about “ten times” the number of people show up in caucus locations throughout the state. The caucuses, though, don’t actually select delegates for Iowa. As Doug explained, the voters express a preference for a candidate in the caucuses, but delegates aren’t chosen until June of 2008, when they’re pledged to support the voters’ preference. I asked Doug as we closed what his experiences with Mitt have shown him in the 18 plus months they’ve worked together. He responded that in a campaign “any candidate’s character is tested; Mitt always acts professionally, above board and ethically.” Given the attacks Mitt has endured, that’s saying a lot. Doug, thanks for taking the time!

Pix from the Rally

Mitt’s supporters made their way to a rally at about 7:30 local time. The press was very well represented, with, I’d estimate, 20-30 different cameras set up in a corner of the large room on a platform. Here’s a shot of the size of the relative side of the room. The press is hard to see, but it’s to the right.

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I made my way to the left of the stage and stood next to a lone cameraman from C-SPAN. Doug Gross welcomed the crowd from the end of a catwalk extending from the main stage, and inspired confidence that Mitt was, in fact, going to be the Republican nominee and our next president. Doug gave way to Dan Jansen, the Olympic speed skater, who recounted how he’d met Mitt before the ‘02 Olympics and knew Mitt was something special. Dan then ceded the stage to Mitt and Ann. Ann expressed her appreciation and love for the people of Iowa. She then introduced the Main Man. I was able to get a few shots of him as the night went on.

Here’s one as Mitt addressed the crowd from the catwalk:

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Mitt’s speech covered his bases: education, overwhelming militant jihadists, and his confidence that the unified American spirit can overcome the challenges we face. He gave Dan as an example of dogged determination that had inspired Mitt, saying “it wasn’t because America had won a gold medal, that had happened before,” but was inspiring because Dan had dedicated himself and finally attained his goal at being the best in the world at something after things had gone wrong in three prior Olympic games. Mitt then gave a tidbit I’d not heard him relate before; he talked about Derek Parra, the speed skater in the ‘02 Olympics that had converted from rollerblading in LA, and found he was fast. Ultimately he won a gold in Salt Lake. When Derek had been asked what his favorite Olympic moment was, it wasn’t winning the gold, but being one of the few athletes chosen to represent America by carrying into the opening ceremonies the flag that had flown over the World Trade Center on September 11. Here’s a link to a story where Derek tells it in his own words. I was in the crowd that night in Salt Lake, and Mitt’s account was absolutely correct. Instead of applause, the crowd, tens of thousands strong, fell reverently silent. At that moment the world paid tribute to the victims of those attacks. Mitt recalled the event with reverence.

Mitt’s speech was a great one. At one point he quoted Yogi Berra as saying he didn’t like making predictions where the future was concerned, but he foresaw a good result in Iowa tomorrow night. I’ve got to say I’m feeling it too.

After the speech he and Ann mingled with some folks in the crowd, before they were whisked away, I believe to be on Fox. Here are a few shots of Mitt mixing it up:

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Some CNN Before Blogging

I’m not sure if many of you caught this, but David Gergen was on with Anderson Cooper tonight, along with Gloria Borger. Both Gergen and Borger made some pretty frank statements about Huckabee not seeming “ready,” and that Huckabee has lost his momentum. It confirms what some, including myself, have observed: as the limelight has shown on Huckabee for his 15 minutes of fame, he’s seemed to wilt and do strange things. Here’s the link to the transcript on CNN’s website. After comments that Rudy’s lack of attention to Iowa was certainly hurting, and that McCain will still suffer for his position on immigration, Gergen and Borger shared the following exchange with Cooper (from CNN’s preliminary transcript):

“GERGEN: I think Huckabee had a real chance to take off. And it’s not that he peaked too early, but that once attention turned to him, he started doing strange things.

In first place, his responses to the Bhutto assassination, you know, what we ought to do about Bhutto is we ought to build a fence between us and Mexico. It was like, “What?” He’s not been in the loop on a lot of foreign policy questions.

I mean, to run off and do, to start that ad and going to Arkansas and make an ad and then pull the ad and then show it to the press, to guffaws on the reporters. There’s been a weirdness factor here that I think has really startled a lot of reporters, and I think it’s probably going to hurt him with a lot of the voters.

BORGER: He doesn’t seem ready.

COOPER: Not ready for prime time?

BORGER: Not really.

COOPER: Gloria Borger, appreciate it. David Gergen, as well. Thanks very much.”

Pretty stark words from Gergen, nominally a Republican and a former Clinton advisor, and Borger.

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Thomas Alan

Crowds

January 3rd, 2008 | 7 Comments | Posted in Iowa, Mike Huckabee

It’s been reported in many places that Gov. Huckabee has more widespread support because of the crowds at his events have been somewhat higher. An important thing to note is that Gov. Huckabee’s voters are, on average, younger than Gov. Romney’s and more likely to go to events where they get to see Chuck Norris.

Gov. Romney’s older voters, however, are more likely to actually show up on caucus night. Gov. Huckabee is relying on the youth vote. And we all know how that usually ends up.

~~~Thomas

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Thomas Alan

Victory Speech

January 2nd, 2008 | 7 Comments | Posted in Iowa

Gov. Romney will have a small window tomorrow night between his victory in the caucuses and the deluge news from the Democrat contest (because we’ve got a simple one-man-one-vote system, we’ll be done quicker). Gov. Dean taught us four years ago how not to make a post-Iowa speech. Now it’s Gov. Romney’s turn to teach us the right way to make one. Things I’d like to see in the speech:

-Introduce himself to the Americans watching at home. Yes Gov. Romney is now a household name, but he’s still mostly seen through the filter of the media to most people.

-Go through the three-legged stool spiel (without using those words) and go into detail about how important it is that the conservative coalition (no use of Reagan either, this is your night Mitt) stay together so that the Republican party can expand.

-Emphasize his strengths on taxes and illegal immigration (without mentioning Sen. McCain).

-Mention Iran and the necessity to keep them from gaining a nuclear weapon.

-Smack Sen. Clinton around. Just for fun.

-Above all, I think it should be an almost convention style speech. A political document if you will. If it hasn’t been prepared yet, it probably won’t have the polish of the religion speech from last month (hopefully his best speechwriters have been preparing for this day), but looking presidential on a wild night like I expect Thursday to be can only be a good thing.

~~~Thomas

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