comMITTed to Romney!

By now, everybody knows that Mr. Huckabee has done everything he can within his power to court every Evangelical Christian in Iowa and New Hampshire.

1) He evokes God in as many political appearances as he can.
2) He gives sermons to churches that he says are non-political in nature; and oh, by the way, he gets paid a lot of money to do so.
3) He calls big meetings of pastors and other Evangelical leaders to directly request their support.
4) He expresses outrage that any Evangelical would consider supporting any other presidential candidate.
5) He was upset that Richard Land, top Baptist leader in Washington, D.C., would not endorse him; that Land said so many nice things about Fred Thompson.

We know that Huckabee’s primary support is among Evangelicals; I am guessing his entire support is probably made up of 98% Evangelicals. There are approximately 500,000 Evangelicals in Iowa. And of course not every Evangelical is a registered voter and not every Evangelical registered voter is Republican.

There are approximately 22,000 members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (Mormons) in Iowa. The same is true of them; not all are registered voters and not all are Republican.

Clearly Mr. Huckabee has done everything he can to make the Iowa caucuses a referendum about religion and the superiority of his. Of course he denies that. Of course he says he represents all citizens. Of course! He is not an idiot. But when you follow his actions — his behavior, it is all about his religion; and that is why voters should vote for him. He righteously expects it.

If he were right, then most, if not all Evangelicals would be supporting Huckabee; right? I am guessing that Huckabee one night sat down and ran the numbers. His handlers probably told him that a very high percentage of Americans would never vote for a Mormon; we’ve all seen those polls, right? So he gets to thinking,

“Let me see; if I make this about my religion in Iowa, and I have almost a 23:1 (500,000 / 22,000) advantage over the LDS members, I could really win big! THAT IS IT!! I am going to run against Romney on his religion! I know that there is a very high probability that every Evangelical registered voter will vote for me and if just half of them do, I will win and I will win big! That is it! Yaaaahoooo! That is my strategy! That is how I am going to attack this!  That is exactly how I am going to win this thing!   Let’s roll!”

However, I think he left out the need to read a newspaper and to check GoogleEarth once a month. Best to stick to the above strategy and just be sure not to answer any more questions! Brilliant!

We know that over the last several weeks, Mr. Huckabee has surged to almost 40% in the Iowa polls; I think I saw a couple of polls showing Huckabee as high as 38%. Let’s use 38%. With Huckabee’s brilliant strategy of appealing to “his base” of Evangelicals, and his more or less scorched-earth, sectarian approach to campaigning (and if his strategy were actually working), what should the poll numbers show by comparison to Governor Romney?

With Huckabee at 38% let’s say, and a 22:1 advantage based on his base, Romney should be at or about 2%, maybe 3% in the polls (38 /22), by comparison. Since that is not the case, maybe Huck’s strategy was not so good. Maybe he underestimated the desire of Evangelicals to use their minds as they decide whom to support in Iowa.

~ Vic

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Mike Huckabee is demonstrating day after day that he is not prepared to lead this country.  From not knowing what the NIE was, when it was published, or his many foreign policy misstatements in the last few days, Huckabee is making a strong case to the American people that he has not studied the play-book and cannot participate in the big-leagues.

Huckabee’s jovial, joking demeanor has impressed many of us.  He is a well polished speaker who knows how to connect with people on a personal level.  I am sure he is a great Pastor; in fact, he just gave a sermon last Sunday.  However,  no matter how many people are persuaded by his personality or ability to make them laugh–Islamic radicals will not be.

Mike Huckabee has made a tremendous surge in Iowa, in no small part to Evangelical Christians looking to find a full spectrum candidate.  That surge has reached its high water mark and is now rapidly receding. Through careful examination of his record and positions, evangelicals in Iowa and elsewhere have determined that Huckabee shares some core theological beliefs and not much else.  His peak is over; and despite his flavor of the month status, and the wishes by several GOP contenders that he could pull out a early win in Iowa–He will not. As Jonathan Martin pointed out in his article, Huckabee’s Iowa chairman Bob Vander Plaats eluded to his candidates impending slide when he said he wished:

 we would have peaked two weeks later.

Mike Huckabee’s peak came soon enough for voters to examine his record and make an informed decision not to support him. He is simply not qualified or prepared to serve in the highest office in the land. He will not win in Iowa and will not secure the GOP nomination. and for those of you who are not convinced of his ineptitude– give him a few more days to work on it.

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