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John Cronin

Ron Paul Supporters Gear Up for Texas GOP State Meeting

June 9th, 2008 | No Comments | Posted in Congress, Paul, Texas

It’s been a while since I’ve heard anything from the Ron Paul campaign, but Congressman Paul and his enthusiasts will be in Austin in force this week, boosting their candidate.

~~John Cronin~~

http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/texassouthwest/stories
/060908dntexpaul.237cc45.html?npc

Associated Press

AUSTIN –

Presumed Republican presidential nominee John McCain will have plenty of surrogates at the state GOP convention this week, like former rival Mitt Romney and Texas Gov. Rick Perry.

But supporters of Ron Paul want to make the most of his Texas home turf to promote his message, too, before thousands of GOP activists attending the convention in Houston.

Paul, a Lake Jackson Republican running for president and for re-election to Congress, won’t have an official speaking role at the convention. He’ll be introduced with others from Texas’ congressional delegation.

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Ann Marie Curling

Think What You Want About Paul…

March 6th, 2008 | 1 Comment | Posted in Analysis, Commentary, and Editorials, Paul

…but This Story, is a good one. I’m not saying I’d vote for him, or believe in a majority of his politics but it was good for the party to have him around. Check it out.

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Ann Marie Curling

Discuss Paul

February 13th, 2008 | 4 Comments | Posted in Paul

If you’d like to discuss Ron Paul, put your comments here.

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Stephanie Davis

Mitt at CPAC

February 7th, 2008 | 11 Comments | Posted in John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Paul

Here’s the info. on Mitt at CPAC:

*All Times Are Eastern Standard Time

Start Time: 12:15 PM

End Time: 1:00 PM

Apparently it is to be broadcast on both CSPAN and FOX live.  John McCain is speaking next, Ron Paul after that, Pres. Bush on Friday and Huckabee on Saturday.

Thanks to our excellent readers for this info!

Does anyone know if there will be an online poll like there was last summer?

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Stephanie Davis

Mitt Can Crush McCain

I think if the general election were based on the intelligence of each of the candidate’s supporters, Mitt would win hands down!  If you haven’t read the readers’ comments on the last few posts in this blog - please do!  They are the best discussion I have seen on the pros and cons of where this campaign is right now.  Make sure to also check out the comments on David Kim’s post below - there is a great summary by the Mitt campaign of how they view the race right now.

Here’s an article today from Newsmax:

Mitt Romney Can Crush McCain

Despite what the pundits, talking heads, and self-annoited experts say about the Republican race, it is more muddled and more up in the air than at any time since Iowa.

Why?

Because 60 percent of the Republican Party is against John McCain.

And the more a dour Tim Russert or an arrogant Chris Mathews says that, he Republican race is, for all intents and purposes, over,?or this one, t is very hard to see how John McCain can be stopped,? the more agitated conservatives get.

That translates to e lefty pundits who dominate the TV airwaves want McCain so we will just proclaim him the inevitable nominee.?

But conservative GOP voters are rebelling against McCain; yes, he gets moderate Republicans and independents who come into the GOP primaries. But the base ?conservatives ?are voting against McCain.

So I ask you this question: How can the Republican Party, with a huge base of conservatives, nominate a candidate who hates them and who they despise?

This is the crux of the dilemma that is ripping the GOP apart now. Ann Coulter “Hannity & Colmes” diatribe was more than amusing. It raised this question: Who do conservatives hate more, John McCain or Hillary Clinton?

The question, more than any answer, is instructive: The fact that we are even talking about this shows how divided we Republicans are and how unaccepting of John McCain we will be.

We feel like he [McCain] is being jammed down our throat by the left, and by the same inside-the-beltway GOP establishment that has been, frankly, wrong on just about everything from amnesty to Dubai Ports World.

The two candidates opposing McCain are both having difficulty cobbling together enough support on their own to defeat McCain; they are splitting the conservative vote and enabling a moderate-to-liberal win.

And Huckabee is clearly in the tank for McCain. Yesterday rigged convention in West Virginia was designed to deny Mitt Romney a omney Wins West Virginia?headline running all day long on cable TV. While within the rules, it was a petty, ugly example of the “real McCain” at work.

As the so-called GOP front-runner he should be above that kind of thing. But it tells us he [McCain] is still more afraid of Romney than he is of Huckabee. Therefore, conservatives are increasingly going to rally to Romney from here on out.

And what Romney now needs to do is simple: pick an upcoming state ?a crucial one ?and make it a mano-a-mano race, Romney vs. McCain, and win it!

It is time Romney beats Mccain one-on-one because if he cannot, then McCain will win the nomination by default.

But if Romney draws the line in the sand and beats McCain, then we have a new race on our hands. The conservatives will rally to Romney and McCain could still be stopped.

So, Mitt, get going and fast.

Your task is a difficult one: take on not just McCain but the entire D.C. establishment.

Let it all out . . . get angry; show some passion. Embrace the talk-radio hosts, as they represent the GOP base.

Take on McCain and squash him, and soon, maybe in Ohio.

Make the economy the issue.

Do us all a favor.

I’m curious:  How many of you would vote Hillary over McCain?  How many would vote Obama over McCain?  How many would write Mitt’s name in?  How many would stay home?

(Nate G:  maybe you could get another online poll going?)

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Vic Lundquist

Dr. James Dobson Repudiates John McCain!

February 5th, 2008 | 6 Comments | Posted in 2008, James Dobson, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Paul

Check this out. AND REMEMBER:    A vote for Mike Huckabee or Ron Paul is a vote for John McCain, and by extension, Hillary Clinton! What do you think? After I read this statement, I thought that maybe Dr. Dobson has been visiting our site secretly!

Statement From Dr. James Dobson As Delivered By Laura Ingraham On “The Laura Ingraham Show” (2/5/08):

I could not post the actual YouTube. You will need to enter this URL:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yDro-hy3TU

“I’m deeply disappointed the Republican Party seems poised to select a nominee who did not support a Constitutional amendment to protect the institution of marriage, who voted for embryonic stem cell research to kill nascent human beings, who opposed tax cuts that ended the marriage penalty, and who has little regard for freedom of speech, who organized the Gang of 14 to preserve filibusters, and has a legendary temper and often uses foul and obscene language.

“I am convinced Sen. McCain is not a conservative, and in fact, has gone out of his way to stick his thumb in the eyes of those who are. He has at times sounded more like a member of the other party. McCain actually considered leaving the GOP in 2001, and approached John Kerry about being Kerry’s running mate in 2004. McCain also said publicly that Hillary Clinton would make a good president. Given these and many other concerns, a spoonful of sugar does not make the medicine go down. I cannot, and I will not vote for Sen. John McCain, as a matter of conscience.

“But what a sad and melancholy decision this is for me and many other conservatives. Should John McCain capture the nomination as many assume, I believe this general election will offer the worst choices for president in my lifetime. I certainly can’t vote for Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama based on their virulently anti-family policy positions. If these are the nominees in November, I simply will not cast a ballot for president for the first time in my life. These decisions are my personal views and do not represent the organization with which I’m affiliated. They do reflect, however, my deeply held convictions about the institution of the family, about moral and spiritual beliefs, and about the welfare of our country.”

PLEASE EMAIL THIS STATEMENT above to every person in America in your email address book.

~ Vic

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Vic Lundquist

McCain & Huckabee are for Amnesty

Friends of ALIPAC,

Standard reminder that ALIPAC is not endorsing any Presidential candidate and our focus is on warning the public about the pro-amnesty candidates, who are all of the Democrats and GOP candidates McCain and Huckabee.

We have to put that text into every email because we get so many false accusations that we are supporting this candidate or that.

While both Mitt Romney and Ron Paul remain on our No Amnesty list at ALIPAC, we are quite aware that voters in America who support anti-Amnesty Ron Paul and Secret-Amnesty Mike Huckabee are looking at the Mitt Romney campaign this weekend because they fear what DC insider John McCain will do to this nation.

We ask our supporters who favor Ron Paul to realize that ALIPAC did not create this situation, we are merely describing what we are seeing out there.

At the time of this e-mail alert, many of our activists across America are working feverishly to get our “McClintObama Amnesty” article out to the nation. Since this article warns voters about both McCain and Huckster, both Paul and Romney are beneficiaries of our efforts.

McClintObama Amnesty Plan: 20 million illegal alien voters by 2010
http://www.alipac.us/article-2920-thread-1-0.html

We have been receiving some repetitive questions and posts about the Mitt Romney campaign. We have done some homework and would like to share this

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Stephanie Davis

Mitt Wins Maine! - John McCain a Distant 2nd

February 3rd, 2008 | 6 Comments | Posted in John McCain, Maine, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Paul

Romney Hails ‘People’s Victory,’ Looks Past Super Tuesday

During a news conference later in Minneapolis, Romney celebrated his Maine victory, noting it came despite McCain’s backing by the state’s two U.S. senators, Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins.

“This is a people’s victory,” Romney said. “It is, in my view, also an indication that conservative change is something that the American people want to see. I think you’re going to see a growing movement across this country to get behind my candidacy and to propel this candidacy forward. I think it’s a harbinger of what you’re going to see on Tuesday.”

Maine Votes

428 of 626 precincts reporting; 68 percent

x-Mitt Romney 2,362 votes; 52 percent

John McCain 958; 21 percent

Ron Paul 851; 19 percent

Mike Huckabee 268;

6 percent

Undecided 94; 2 percent

Keep up the great work!

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Vic Lundquist

THEIR COMMENTS TO MITT

Flag Waving

Debate night! (It is still “tonight” for me no matter what the date says. It is about 10:30 p.m. California time as I sit down with some thoughts about the debate).

First, my initial reaction to the overall debate for Gov. Romney was that I was stoked! (an odd idiom of great meaning to Southern Californians)

Second, there was a sense of momentum I felt from beginning to end of the debate. I expected the other candidates to gang up on Gov. Romney and they didn’t. Trying to take my bias into account, I thought Gov. Romney fully dominated the debate. No question in my mind AT ALL. He dominated in a gentlemanly way. Following are brief comments made to Gov. Romney by each of the candidates at the breaks or after the debate. [these occurred to Cindy and me as the debate went on]. I’m sure our guesses here were not too far off reality tonight:

Senator McCain: “Hey Mitt, I know people think I hate you. A little straight talk okay? Look, I’m not real fond of you, true. But can I be your VP? Please? I will introduce you to my general buddies in the Marines. By the way, what the heck were you talking about in that one answer you gave about the economy? Run that by me real slow and please use language that any ASU student could understand.”

Governor Huckabee: “Off the record, when my son hanged that dog, it was already dead. Did I tell you he earned the Eagle Scout award? How many of your sons are Eagles? For what it is worth Mitt, every Sunday when I give my sermons to earn a little money, I always tell the pastors and their parishioners to stop the whisper campaigns against you. Yeah, I know I could give a public speech on religious tolerance, like you did, and denounce religious bigotry publicly, I just think that I can be more effective behind the scenes to fight bigotry. What do you think of the Razorbacks? They are right up there with those Cougars! I know you always surround yourself with only the most intelligent and successful people, but do you think you could find a spot for me at the consulate on the western border of Ireland, the home of my ancestors? That would be swell.”

Mayor Giuliani: [looking up at Gov. Romney, simultaneously squinting and looking surprised] — “Hey Mitt, can we have lunch next Wednesday? I have some time open on my calendar that day. I would like to get a few tips from you on a couple of my companies that are struggling right now. But more importantly, I ran out of money today and I will be bowing out of the race. I want to get your thoughts on how best to convey that message to maximize my long-term speaking engagement value and preserve the legacy I have as Hero #1 of September 11th. I think I might be able to help deliver New Jersey for you in the primaries and general — I have some connections. What d’ya say?”

Congressman Paul: “Mitt, do you think anybody listened to me tonight? I wish I were you”

In all seriousness, how great was Governor Romney tonight? I realize it may now sound a little trite to say this, as everyone has been saying it for weeks, but Gov. Romney really seemed presidential. All the others on that stage almost appeared to be in his shadow.

Since I have seen Gov. Romney speak so often, I have a habit now of looking at the others around him when he speaks. Again, trying to eliminate my bias, the others seemed in awe of Gov. Romney tonight. I kept thinking to myself, each of the candidates were telling themselves things like, “Wow, he has this thing nailed…”“I wish I knew half what he knows!” — Etc.

By the way, none of this above is gloating. Absolutely not. There is a long road ahead. Gov. Romney has a long way to go to the nomination and a lot of hard work. He has not won Florida and it might be very tight. We all need to do what we can to help get the vote out and influence fence-sitters, FredHeads, and Huck’s followers that are just now awakening to the reality he has no message and no broad-based support.

It is a little bit of celebration — INDEED.

~ Vic

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Stephanie Davis

Mitt Bits

Here are some latest news bits about Mitt.

Top Thompson Fla. fundraiser joins Romney

Mitchell said she decided to go with Romney after she was contacted by the other GOP campaigns. She said she will likely start raising money for the former governor after she meets with him Sunday.
Mitchell said she thinks “a lot of the people I brought to the table for Fred will go with Romney.”

Scoring Mitchell and her considerable Sunshine State connections could prove to be invaluable for Romney in Florida’s Jan. 29 primary, as poll after poll continues to show a tight race.

Duncan Hunter endorses …. Mike Huckabee?!  Hmmm…

Hunter backs Huckabee

Hunter’s endorsement could help Huckabee with his credentials on illegal immigration and border security. The congressman’s presidential campaign never caught fire and ended Saturday, following the Nevada Caucus.
 

Louisiana results - Mitt gets another bronze - well, probably…

Louisiana Caucus: McCain wins, Paul second, Romney third

State party officials cautioned that the results were preliminary. In order for a voter to be eligible to participate in the Caucus they must have been registered with the state Republican Party by November 30 2007. Party official are still verifying provisional ballots for newly registered voters which may boost Paul’s numbers a little since most of the newly registered voters supported his candidacy.
The delegates elected at the Caucus will attend a state convention on February 16th where they will elect national delegates. As a result it is unclear at this time how many delegates each candidate will receive.

Finally, on a McCant, McCranky, McCain note - Ann Coulter says it like only Ann can.  Hat tip to reader Louise for this one!

‘Straight Talk’ Express Takes Scenic Route to Truth

 

John McCain is Bob Dole minus the charm, conservatism and youth. Like McCain, pollsters assured us that Dole was the most “electable” Republican. Unlike McCain, Dole didn’t lie all the time while claiming to engage in Straight Talk.

Of course, I might lie constantly too, if I were seeking the Republican presidential nomination after enthusiastically promoting amnesty for illegal aliens, Social Security credit for illegal aliens, criminal trials for terrorists, stem-cell research on human embryos, crackpot global warming legislation and free speech-crushing campaign-finance laws.

I might lie too, if I had opposed the Bush tax cuts, a marriage amendment to the Constitution, waterboarding terrorists and drilling in Alaska.

It’s good, keep reading …

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Vic Lundquist

DON’T MISS TONIGHT’S REPUBLICAN DEBATE — Florida!

Flag Waving

Before going to work today, be sure to set your DVR devices for the debate!

My cable company is showing the Republican Debate as a two-hour, live event nationally, on cable MSNBC in Florida.

Wait a minute. Does that mean we get Chris Matthews again? He is lousy at conducting debates!

Thursday, January 24, 2008

 

Eastern — 9pm to 11pm

 

Central — 8pm to 10pm

 

Mountain — 7pm to 9pm

 

Pacific — 6pm to 8pm

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Ann Marie Curling

After Freds Departure California Poll Has Romney Nipping At McCain’s Heels

Check Out This PDF

Results:

McCain - 23%
Romney - 21%
Giuliani - 13%
Huckabee - 12%
Paul - 7%
Other - 1%
Undecided - 23%

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Jeff Fuller

Post SC/NV Evangelical vs non-Evangelical Scorecard (with NV Mormon vote analysis)

Based on Exit polling from SC, NV, MI, NH, and IA (as well as real vote tallies from the five states–apologies to WY!):

Total voters thusfar: 1,731,000

Total “Evangelical/”"Born Again” voters: 734,200

Total non-Evangelical voters: 996,800

Evangelical Numbers
Percent of total votes cast that were from Evangelicals: 42%
Evangelical Voters by candidate:


Huckabee — 36%

Romney — 25%
McCain — 24%
Thompson — 10%
Paul — 4%
Giuliani — 1%
Before SC, Romney was tied with Huckabee at 31% each with the Evangelical voters. Huckabee has an undisputed “base” among Evangelicals, but both Romney and McCain have proven that they can get a significant portion of the “Evangelical vote.”

Non-Evangelical Numbers

Percent of total votes cast that were from non-Evangelicals: 58%

Non-Evangelical Voters by candidate:

Romney — 36%
McCain — 35%
Paul — 9%
Huckabee — 9%

Thompson — 6%
Giuliani — 5%
Yes folks . . . the appeal for Huckabee to non-Evangelical voters is on par with Ron Paul’s (before this Sat he actually trailed Ron Paul among non-Evangelical votes by quite a large margin). Huckabee definitely HAS NOT proven in any contest thus far that he can get non-Evangelicals to support him in large numbers.

Huck’s best showing for the non-Evangelical votes was 14% (both in IA and SC–4th place in both instances). In MI he got 8% of non-Evangelical votes. In NH he got just 6%, and in Nevada he got a Hunter-esque 3% of the non-Evangelical votes. This does not bode well for Huckabee from Feb 5th onward (let alone how in the world he could compete in a general election). He’s yet to prove that he can move beyond his base (and his gaffe-prone campaigning the last few weeks isn’t helping with any “outreach”). Additionally MI, NV, and even SC have shown that he’s even having a hard time “locking up” his Evangelical base effectively.

I maintain my position from last week’s similar post: Mike Huckabee’s sole purpose in this race right now is to dilute Romney’s access to social conservative voters so that McCain can win and then Huck can hope to be chosen as VP.

***************

Now onto the Mormon vote in Nevada. Most media outlets seemed to delight in repeating that Romney got 94% of the LDS vote in Nevada. It was repeated time and again as I watched the coverage live and many pundits said/inferred that this factor accounted for Romney’s win. Actually, if you subtracted out every single Mormon vote for Romney he still would have won by a double digit margin and had nearly double the votes of either of his next two competitors.

But others seemed to express dismay that one religious group would be so absolutely monolithic in it’s support. However, they fail to recognize that Dems NV Exit polling shows that 3% of those participating in the Democratic caucus were Mormons. I’m guessing NONE of them voted for Romney (sarcasm intended).

With voting totals around 115,000 in the Dem race (I saw that number on Fox News) that would come out to approximately 3500 LDS voters NOT voting for Romney in the Dem caucus.

By contrast, 25% of the GOP caucus in NV that were Mormon with nearly 45,000 total GOP voters — therefore around 11250 LDS voters and 94% of them were for Romney . . . but that means nearly 500 were not.

So, 4000 LDS in Nevada voted “Not for Romney” and 10,750 voted for Romney. That breaks down to 73% LDS for Romney and 27% LDS that were not for Romney. Not quite the absolutely robotic block-voting group that many media outlets are trying to play up, but, still, a solid base for Romney in the western/mountain states.

An interesting counter-argument about such huge LDS support for Mitt is that LDS have absolutely NO reservations about or aversion to Romney based on his religion, and can therefore view him outside of that context (while most non-LDS cannot) and therefore judge him solely on his record, experience, and issue stances. Romney surely hasn’t “pandered” to the LDS base like Huckabee has to his Evangelical base. Historically speaking, there was no huge LDS groundswell of support for Orrin Hatch in 2000, or Mo Udall back in the 70s. Similarly, Harry Reid is a guy that only a tiny fraction of LDS would ever consider voting for based on co-religiosity. In Romney most LDS are able to see, outside of the context of him having a “weird religion,” that he is an incredibly competent, faithful, successful, and articulate leader with a record of conservative governance and broad-based executive experience.

I’ve never thought there was any “upside” for Romney or his supporters to decry the hard or soft bigotry that he’s faced because of his religion. Most of us have know it exists, but it is something difficult to quantify. It is what it is and it’s hard to change, so why focus on it, right? No one likes a “whiner” and Romney certainly can’t be criticized for being one.

However, a recent study out of Vanderbilt University provides pretty convincing evidence that religious aversion to Romney is very real, but has hidden under the cover of his branding as a “flip-flopper.” The researchers conclude that such negative perceptions and labels have “stuck” to Romney because of underlying or overt theological misgivings about his religion.

Bias against Mitt Romney’s religion is one of the reasons that the tag “flip-flopper” sticks with the former Massachusetts governor but not his Republican opponents, according to Vanderbilt political scientist[s] . . .

“We find that of those who accuse Romney of flip-flopping, many admit it is Romney’s Mormonism and not his flip-flopping that is the real issue,” Benson said. “Our survey shows that 26 percent of those who accuse Romney of flip-flopping also indicate that Mormonism, not flip-flopping, is their problem with Romney.” Benson noted that the pattern is especially strong for conservative Evangelicals. According to the poll, 57 percent of them have a bias against Mormons.

The study’s findings suggest that criticizing Romney for flip-flopping is an effective campaign strategy because it sticks with two different groups: those who are genuinely concerned about Romney’s shifts on certain issues and those who use the label as cover for the fact that they do not want to vote for a Mormon for president.

“As the campaign continues to unfold, these data become increasingly relevant as the Republicans choose a presidential nominee,” Geer said.

Again, I present this not as a complaint or “whining” about it, but in an informational sense. Like Romney, I love data and believe in it’s power. Having this new data out there might help people see deeper into the dynamics of this race and self-analyze why there may be an aversion to Romney for which he can hardly be blamed. That he has succeeded and progressed despite this “handicap” is quite impressive IMO.

Thoughts?

Jeff Fuller

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John Cronin

Romney Delegate Count Update

According to the MSM……If Romney doesn’t win Iowa, he’s toast………If Romney doesn’t win Wyoming, he’s toast……..If Romney doesn’t win New Hampshire, he’s toast……..If Romney doesn’t win Michigan, he’s toast………If Romney doesn’t win Nevada, he’s toast……If Romney doesn’t win,…… oh, never mind, but you just wait until he has to face the Democrats in the Fall.

Sure.

Updated delegate count:

Romney——72

McCain——38

Huckabee——29

Thompson——8

Paul——6

Giuliani——2

Hunter——1

And now it’s on to Florida and let’s win there!

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

Romney Delegate Count Surges To 42

Congratulations to Governor Romney and his campaign team on a great win in Michigan tonight! As they say down South, he gave the competition a “thumpin’.”

It will be fascinating to analyze the exit polls to see just what the dynamics of the voting indicates. One thing that jumped out of the stats I saw was that among Catholics who go to church weekly, 41% voted for Gov. Romney. So much for Pastor Mike’s attempt to divide and conquer.

Here is the updated delegate count. MSM pundits, pay very close attention to these numbers. Try to keep them in mind as you sit down at your desk and place your fingers on your computer’s keyboard.

These numbers should be the reason why you should exercise a healthy discipline with yourself if you are tempted to write another column or blog calling on Gov. Romney to withdraw from the race.

The reason that Gov. Romney has not taken your advise is because HE IS WINNING!!

Romney…………42

Huckabee……….21

McCain………….19

Thompson……….6

Paul………………2

Giuliani…………..1

Hunter……………1

~~John Cronin~~

“For of those to whom much is given, much is required. And when at some future date the high court of history sits in judgment on each of us, recording whether in our brief span of service we fulfilled our responsibilities to the state, our success or failure, in whatever office we hold, we will be measured by the answer to four questions: First, were we truly men of courage…..Second, were we truly men of judgment…..Third, were we truly men of integrity…..Finally, were we truly men of dedication?

We observe today not a victory of party but a celebration of freedom, symbolizing an end as well as a beginning, signifying renewal as well as change.”

John Fitzgerald Kennedy, Inaugural Address, Jan. 20, 1961

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