http://committedtoromney.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/ A Community of People Committed to Conservative Principles Since 2005. Wed, 07 Jan 2009 20:02:39 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 http://committedtoromney.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83896 SCannon Fri, 25 Jan 2008 14:08:01 +0000 http://blog.electromneyin2008.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83896 Real Clear Politics statics look correct to me. They aren't including the InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen polls because there are newer versions of their polls. I still think Mitt is ahead.... Real Clear Politics statics look correct to me. They aren’t including the InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen polls because there are newer versions of their polls. I still think Mitt is ahead….

]]> http://committedtoromney.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83762 Linda Fri, 25 Jan 2008 07:04:33 +0000 http://blog.electromneyin2008.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83762 I believe you W, although I'm not good at math, it didn't look right to me. I believe you W, although I’m not good at math, it didn’t look right to me.

]]> http://committedtoromney.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83758 W Fri, 25 Jan 2008 07:01:12 +0000 http://blog.electromneyin2008.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83758 this is an effective ad. Comment: Real clear politics is skewing the data! Real clear politics is leaving out 2 of the polls that Mitt won handily in Florida in order to calculate their “RCP average”. It’s a bunch of junk. The average shows McCain ahead by +1, which is wrong! Look at the bottom where there are two polls showing Mitt up by 5 (1/20 Insider Advantage and Rassmussen). They don’t include them in their calculation of the RCP average. Instead, they choose to include Mcain’s “survey USA” poll only from 1/20. The real “average” should be Mcain: 23.1 Romney: 23.9 (Romney +0.8) Look at the link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_republican_primary-260.html#polls Poll Date McCain Romney Giuliani Huckabee Paul Thompson Spread RCP Average 01/20 - 01/23 24.5 23.5 18.8 15.5 4.3 5.7 McCain +1.0 InsiderAdvantage 01/23 - 01/23 23 22 18 16 4 — McCain +1.0 Rasmussen 01/23 - 01/23 23 27 20 15 4 — Romney +4.0 Mason-Dixon 01/22 - 01/23 26 30 18 15 3 — Romney +4.0 Strategic Vision (R) 01/20 - 01/22 25 20 22 18 5 6 McCain +3.0 Herald/SPT/Bay9 01/20 - 01/22 25 23 15 15 3 4 McCain +2.0 OMITTED ******InsiderAdvantage 01/20 - 01/21 18 24 19 12 7 — Romney +5.0 OMITTED: ******Rasmussen 01/20 - 01/20 20 25 19 13 5 12 Romney +5.0 INCLUDED: ******SurveyUSA 01/20 - 01/20 25 19 20 14 7 7 McCain +5.0 this is an effective ad.
Comment: Real clear politics is skewing the data! Real clear politics is leaving out 2 of the polls that Mitt won handily in Florida in order to calculate their “RCP average”. It’s a bunch of junk. The average shows McCain ahead by +1, which is wrong! Look at the bottom where there are two polls showing Mitt up by 5 (1/20 Insider Advantage and Rassmussen). They don’t include them in their calculation of the RCP average. Instead, they choose to include Mcain’s “survey USA” poll only from 1/20. The real “average” should be Mcain: 23.1 Romney: 23.9 (Romney +0.8)
Look at the link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_republican_primary-260.html#polls
Poll Date McCain Romney Giuliani Huckabee Paul Thompson Spread
RCP Average 01/20 - 01/23 24.5 23.5 18.8 15.5 4.3 5.7 McCain +1.0
InsiderAdvantage 01/23 - 01/23 23 22 18 16 4 — McCain +1.0
Rasmussen 01/23 - 01/23 23 27 20 15 4 — Romney +4.0
Mason-Dixon 01/22 - 01/23 26 30 18 15 3 — Romney +4.0
Strategic Vision (R) 01/20 - 01/22 25 20 22 18 5 6 McCain +3.0
Herald/SPT/Bay9 01/20 - 01/22 25 23 15 15 3 4 McCain +2.0
OMITTED ******InsiderAdvantage 01/20 - 01/21 18 24 19 12 7 — Romney +5.0
OMITTED: ******Rasmussen 01/20 - 01/20 20 25 19 13 5 12 Romney +5.0
INCLUDED: ******SurveyUSA 01/20 - 01/20 25 19 20 14 7 7 McCain +5.0

]]> http://committedtoromney.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83736 Vic Lundquist Fri, 25 Jan 2008 06:18:09 +0000 http://blog.electromneyin2008.com/2008/01/25/new-web-ad-waltzes/#comment-83736 Today on the Hugh Hewitt show, Hugh said this will probably prove to be McCain's John Kerry moment. CLASSIC! Today on the Hugh Hewitt show, Hugh said this will probably prove to be McCain’s John Kerry moment. CLASSIC!

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