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January 25th, 2008 at 2:18 am
Today on the Hugh Hewitt show, Hugh said this will probably prove to be McCain’s John Kerry moment. CLASSIC!
January 25th, 2008 at 3:01 am
this is an effective ad.
Comment: Real clear politics is skewing the data! Real clear politics is leaving out 2 of the polls that Mitt won handily in Florida in order to calculate their “RCP average”. It’s a bunch of junk. The average shows McCain ahead by +1, which is wrong! Look at the bottom where there are two polls showing Mitt up by 5 (1/20 Insider Advantage and Rassmussen). They don’t include them in their calculation of the RCP average. Instead, they choose to include Mcain’s “survey USA” poll only from 1/20. The real “average” should be Mcain: 23.1 Romney: 23.9 (Romney +0.8)
Look at the link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_republican_primary-260.html#polls
Poll Date McCain Romney Giuliani Huckabee Paul Thompson Spread
RCP Average 01/20 - 01/23 24.5 23.5 18.8 15.5 4.3 5.7 McCain +1.0
InsiderAdvantage 01/23 - 01/23 23 22 18 16 4 — McCain +1.0
Rasmussen 01/23 - 01/23 23 27 20 15 4 — Romney +4.0
Mason-Dixon 01/22 - 01/23 26 30 18 15 3 — Romney +4.0
Strategic Vision (R) 01/20 - 01/22 25 20 22 18 5 6 McCain +3.0
Herald/SPT/Bay9 01/20 - 01/22 25 23 15 15 3 4 McCain +2.0
OMITTED ******InsiderAdvantage 01/20 - 01/21 18 24 19 12 7 — Romney +5.0
OMITTED: ******Rasmussen 01/20 - 01/20 20 25 19 13 5 12 Romney +5.0
INCLUDED: ******SurveyUSA 01/20 - 01/20 25 19 20 14 7 7 McCain +5.0
January 25th, 2008 at 3:04 am
I believe you W, although I’m not good at math, it didn’t look right to me.
January 25th, 2008 at 10:08 am
Real Clear Politics statics look correct to me. They aren’t including the InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen polls because there are newer versions of their polls. I still think Mitt is ahead….