Florida of ‘08 the South Carolina of old ?
It is looking increasingly obvious to me that FLORIDA may in fact be the deciding primary state in 2008, the same way South Carolina has been in the past. The moving up of the primary dates has actually INCREASED the importance of the early states.
New Rasmussen Poll out today in FL has McCain at 18% and Romney, Rudy, and Huckabee are all within 2%.
Florida is certainly up for play, and any Jeb / Crist endorsement could help Romney over the top in FL.
Romney, if he wins MI…should go to NV and forget SC. NV has more delegates, and a win in NV would help to ease the loss in SC seeing as they are both on the same day. SC will be Huck and McCain battling it out. Then, Romney has 10 days to make his case in FL.
Best case scenario for Romney - Wins in MI, NV, and 3rd in SC. A Huck win in SC knocks McCain out, then it comes down to Rudy / Romney / Huck in Florida.
Rudy is center, Huck is right, Romney is center right…and THE alternative to both.
A possible Jeb/Crist endorsement may push him over the top, and if Romney wins FL he wins the nomination IMO.
We shall see…..
January 14th, 2008 at 12:18 pm
Huck is right? I see him as liberal. A liberal with some conservative yearnings, maybe.
January 14th, 2008 at 12:31 pm
I agree, however just detailing how the media is portraying him.
January 14th, 2008 at 12:31 pm
Must be a misprint about Huck being right. Rudy is center left, Huck is left, and Romney center right, with Ron Paul being right.
January 14th, 2008 at 2:47 pm
Joe, exactly right!
January 14th, 2008 at 3:47 pm
Quinnipiac backs up the Rasmussen numbers. McCain 22, Rudy 20, Romney 19, Huckabee 19.
January 14th, 2008 at 5:54 pm
I agree with Liz and Joe. Duckabee is left. The fact that typical right leaning evangelicals would consider voting for the liberal Duckabee is just another sign they are simple lemmings being played by the MSM.
January 14th, 2008 at 9:58 pm
I agree Joe. Huckabee, right? To the right of whom? Castro? Chavez? If it wasnt for his life position, he would be the most left wing candidate since Jimmy Carter.
January 14th, 2008 at 10:51 pm
I disagree, the last thing you want is for Huckabee to win in SC. IF he wins there he will have strong momentum going into FL. The best case scenario for Romney would be a Thompson win in SC, coupled with a strong 2nd or 3rd place finish for Romney. Even better would be McCain dropping from 1st to 4th and that should put the nail in the coffin for McCain eventually as his support/resources will dry up going into Feb 5th.